Lower scores mean more distress.
More distress means a bigger polygon. A bigger polygon means a stronger signal to accumulate.
Through every market storm,
one clear view.
one clear view.
Weekly · Every Sunday
Every issue answers two questions about every asset. Is the long-term thesis still intact? And how aggressively should you accumulate right now? Two scores. One framework. Applied the same way every Sunday.
Five pillars rated one to five. Scores the health of the long-term thesis. Tells you whether the fundamental case for owning this asset still holds.
Six market inputs rated one to ten. Scores current conditions. Tells you how aggressively to accumulate based on where the market sits today.
Each pillar is scored one to five. The total is the conviction score, out of twenty-five. A high score means the case for owning this asset is intact across every dimension we track.
Is real-world usage and institutional interest still growing?
Revenue, margins, balance sheet, business health. What does the math say?
Does the current macro environment favor or punish this asset?
Is the moat intact, or is competition eroding the edge?
Regulatory, execution, or systemic threats to the thesis.
Each input is scored one to ten. The total is the DCA score, out of sixty. The model reads market conditions across every axis that matters for accumulation timing.
Distance from the recent high. Deeper drawdown means a lower score.
VIX turbulence. Higher volatility means a lower score.
Fear and Greed index. Extreme fear means a lower score.
Position relative to 200 MA. Below in a downtrend means a lower score.
Policy stance. Tightening or rising rates means a lower score.
High-impact events on the horizon. More converging risk means a lower score.
Every deep dive opens with a hexagon. Each axis is one of the six inputs. The polygon connects the score for each. Because scoring is inverted, a small polygon means calm conditions, a large polygon means a strong signal to accumulate.
If conviction is broken, the DCA signal automatically pauses. No matter how distressed the market looks. No matter how attractive the price. A broken thesis is not a dip to accumulate. It's a position to reassess.
The framework, applied. Forty assets. Two scores. One clean read on what is intact, what is broken, and how aggressively to accumulate.